Germany vs. Portugal: Gamethread and Live Blog - Lineups are out! Pavlović joins Kimmich, Goretzka, and Sané; Ter Stegen is back!

For the first time in the UEFA Nations League’s short history, Julian Naglesmann has led Germany deep into the knockout rounds. Germany won its group in undefeated fashion and subsequently knocked out Italy (5-4 aggregate) in the quarterfinals.

Germany will host Portugal in a single-elimination semifinal. The winner will meet the winner of Spain-France in the final on Sunday. All three matches will be held at the Allianz Arena, Bayern Munich’s home stadium.

Historically, Germany (10W-5D-3L) holds the advantage over Portugal. However, the Portuguese have not beat the Germans in the last five attempts, dating back to 2006. Germany’s biggest win over Portugal (4-0) occurred in the 2014 World Cup group stage. Germany went on to win the 2014 World Cup.

Portugal also went undefeated in the group stage with four wins and two draws, finishing in first place of group A1 over Croatia, Scotland, and Poland.

Odds: Germany (-120), Draw (+240), Portugal (+350)

Prediction: Germany loses 2-1. With a healthy Jamal Musiala and Antonio Rüdiger, this would be a completely different game. Portugal will have its entire squad available and has played together for quite some time. Rafael Leão will beat the entire defense with speed to open up the scoring in the first half. Leon Goretzka’s header from a Joshua Kimmich free kick will tie it up. In the dying minutes, Germany will be called for a controversial handball in the box. Ronaldo will score the penalty, take his shirt off, torture Bayern and Germany fans one last time.

While you’re waiting for the game, why not check out our preview podcast? Listen to it below or on Spotify.

Match Info

Location: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany

Date: Wednesday, June 4th, 2025

Time: 9:00pm local time, 3:00pm EST

TV/streaming: Fox Sports 1, Find Your Country

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