From the Pocket: Can Giants v Suns go from ‘mockbuster’ to megahit?

The Expansion Cup. It’s the biggest game on the football calendar. At least it is for two clubs and their supporters who circle the day as a reminder that they’re not alone in trying to break into a crowded market. But this time, the clash between the GWS Giants and the Gold Coast Suns is more than just a “mockbuster”. It’s for more than just tongue-in-cheek bragging rights. The AFL’s glorified “nepo babies” will meet for the first time with both sides sitting inside the top eight.

The finger of blame for this anomaly over 14 years of the clubs’ shared history can be firmly pointed at the Suns. The Giants have appeared in seven finals campaigns, won nine post-season matches and reached a grand final in 2019. For the Suns, the numbers for the same are none, zero, zilch. But this season they are on the verge of overtaking the Giants in the premiership race. After giving the Giants a huge head start, the Suns are threatening to be the first of the expansion clubs to reach the promised land.

Gold Coast have only once been a genuine finals contender, when they were still sitting in the top eight as late as round 16 in 2014. Gary Ablett Jr went down at that point with a season-ending shoulder injury. The Suns tumbled with him to 12th. That remains their equal-highest finish, but the perennial underachievers are now likely five wins away from breaking their finals drought. They have six matches to come on their home deck and two games in hand on four of the sides sitting above their sixth place. A challenging run home awaits, but with three-time premiership coach Damien Hardwick’s fingerprints all over their gameplan and brand, they finally look ready to stand up at the pointy end of a season.

View image in fullscreen Damien Hardwick has changed the Suns’ trajectory. Photograph: Matt Roberts/AFL Photos/via Getty Images

The former Richmond coach inherited a high-potential midfield built around onball bull Matt Rowell and veteran Touk Miller. Noah Anderson adds the touch of class. Handing the captaincy to Anderson at 23 years old has been a masterstroke as much as a changing of the guard – just as Hardwick made Trent Cotchin the Tigers’ skipper at a similar same age. Anderson finished in the top 10 of the 2023 Brownlow Medal in his fourth season. He is now a much more complete footballer; still polished in possession but better at winning and distributing the ball from the inside.

The recruitment of Daniel Rioli, who played under Hardwick at the Tigers, and John Noble has already paid dividends. The duo’s dash and dare from half-back sets the tone and has helped make the Suns harder for opposition defences to contain. They have the fourth-highest scoring attack, with focal point Ben King already on 34 goals, as well as the fifth-tightest defence. That blend has been the premiership model in 18 of the past 20 years.

The best is still to come for Gold Coast. Grassroots participation in the city is booming and their well funded academy is paying for itself. Key forward Jed Walter, athletic tall Ethan Read, Jake Rogers and Will Graham all arrived from their football factory as first-round picks in 2023. Leo Lombard is another academy graduate since taken in the top 10. More highly touted prospects are tipped to be added later this year and leave the clubs in footy’s heartland fuming.

Gold Coast and GWS both come with their flaws, their inconsistencies and talented but imbalanced playing lists. But at their best, they can match it with any team in the competition. GWS have beaten Collingwood, Geelong and Brisbane this year. Gold Coast have edged past the next tier of Adelaide, the Western Bulldogs and Hawthorn.

The Suns are rising, while the Giants are … not quite falling, but too often just hanging on. The forward group led by the talismanic Toby Greene and reigning Coleman medallist Jesse Hogan could be the most potent in the game. But the Giants are ranked mid-table for scoring, marks inside 50 and tackles inside 50. Arguably the best intercepting backline in the league is forced to paper over the cracks further afield, as it defends against the most inside 50s coming its way outside West Coast. An ageing midfield is creaking and needs a refresh alongside Finn Callaghan and Tom Green.

skip past newsletter promotion Sign up to From the Pocket: AFL Weekly Free weekly newsletter Jonathan Horn brings expert analysis on the week's biggest AFL stories Enter your email address Sign up Privacy Notice: Newsletters may contain info about charities, online ads, and content funded by outside parties. For more information see our Newsletters may contain info about charities, online ads, and content funded by outside parties. For more information see our Privacy Policy . We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. after newsletter promotion

The Giants have set the standard for the two newest clubs in the league. They have won 13 of their past 14 matches against the Suns, and all seven meetings at their home base by an average of 66 points. More than half of the 19 clashes between the Suns and Giants have been far from close encounters. They have been straight-to-DVD affairs decided by 40 points or more. The clash on Sunday is unlikely to break any box office records but the top-eight tussle will be worth watching if only for a glimpse into the future of an emerging force.

Click here to read article